Value Add is the way forward
There are decadal changes that
are happening in economics currently. Rather I would say we are witnessing a
confluence of mammoth changes happening. These are happening because certain
behaviours, certain things, certain statistics reached their extreme and now
reversing.
This reversal however is not that
simple it implies that we are reversing from a world that had accepted certain things
as their way of life and are changing (for good or bad time will tell). One of
the aspects I wanted to cover in this writeup the value of money and its impact
on commercial aspects.
For last 100 Year we have witnessed
a rise of West and along with it we also have witnessed the ideologies linked
to west accepted by every being. It began with aspiring to work in west,
travelling to Europe as aspiration to studying in West. Over the years these
ideologies have become our way of living as we look upon some of the western education
institutions with lot of respect. In financial world capitalism took far more
lead as compared to communism and it is the preferred way most of the countries
chose in last 50 years when they had an option. I have no problems with these
as long as they make our living easier.
As the world now is closer to USD
100 odd trillion GDP the fundamental question of US dollar as a preferred
currency is standing. The USD which was considered as a rich currency and made
world believe that it is the only one which is a global currency the thought
has started seeing cracks.
USD brought it with the deflation
for world, East lost pricing power, made the resource poor economies rich and
resource rich economies poor, This brought in lot of thoughts like – Asset light
living, focus on quality spending than on savings, the young generation moved towards
leasing than owning, Made the desktop work more valuable than ground work – All
this happened only and only because Value of Money has gone down.
Value of money went down as US
kept on printing dollars and kept pushing interest rates low. Over last 40
years this according to me has created a sharp behavioural shifts. I feel as
this shield goes down slowly a bare truth is about to come in front of our
eyes.
According to me soon we are going
to witness – “ Earning Money is not so Easy”. For every penny that individual
is going to pay the value add is going to be of utmost importance. Soon everyone
is going to ask “ Why am I Paying, What am I Paying for and What is the outcome
of this exercise”.
I feel the real economy has just
made a cameo but it is about to launch in the form of movie with multiple
parts. The virtual economy will have to make lot of efforts to justify its existence
as the outcomes are intangible. The tangibles which were losing value will get
more value and intangibles will need to make value add efforts.
I can write about my industry of
investments – We have already started to witness the pricing pressure and
transparency norms put on the manufacturers. Investors are already looking at reducing
costs and actually seeking value for every penny paid. I believe the platforms
will perpetually have to Focus on improving execution at competitive costs and
advisors will perpetually have to look for Value Add. The Easy Money Era is
over and it applies to us as well.
Reading – Thinking – Executing all
will be important. I believe the era or Working Hard with diligence has begun
and it will keep evolving. One will have to constantly think of Justifying
their existence. Lot of people misunderstand that advisors can justify their
costs only by generating returns but that is the job of money manager. Advisors
job is to customise solution and help manage wealth within the constraints of investor and periodically keep tracking the
navigation. I think the investment house will have to rethink their strategy before
someone else does.
In the end these are again
interesting times. As the Value Of dollar goes down, it will have lot of
consequence… the natural impact of it is … it increases the value of everything
else.… great time for resource rich economies have begun. Lets see how we navigate
with time.